Political Analyst - Election Forecasting

About the job Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark , General Catalyst , Peter Thiel , Adam D'Angelo , Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey . Position: Local Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk Type: Contract Compensation: $100–$200/hour Location: Remote Role Responsibilities Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff. Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds. Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact. Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard. Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance . Qualifications Must-Have Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states. On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, candidates, and the local political environment. A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races. Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis. Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance. Preferred Backgrounds in political science departments and survey research centers at universities in the target states. Experience with state and regional pollsters, state-level campaign and party analytics teams. Decision desks or race-ratings outlets with state-specific coverage. National forecasting or political-risk experience with deep knowledge of a specific state. Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete) Upload resume AI interview based on your resume Submit form Resources & Support For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome For any help or support, reach out to: support@mercor.com PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.