Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting

About the job Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark , General Catalyst , Peter Thiel , Adam D'Angelo , Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey . Position: Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk Type: Contract Compensation: $150–$200/hour Location: Remote Role Responsibilities Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff. Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds. Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact. Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard. Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance . Qualifications Must-Have A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst. A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds — not retrospective commentary. Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis. Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance. Preferred Experience with top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate or governor races, and political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU . Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete) Upload resume AI interview based on your resume Submit form Resources & Support For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome For any help or support, reach out to: support@mercor.com PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.